Trump Is Punished And Does Not Fight…Why?

Trump Is Punished And Does Not Fight…Why?

Date of publication: September 21, 2019.

Rajeh El Khoury - Lebanese writer: No international investigation is needed to find out that Iran carried out the terrorist aggression against the Aramco facilities in Abqaiq and Khurais, whether cruise missiles and drones came directly from its territory, from its bases in the vicinity, and even from Yemen. According to the Houthis, in the end, in fact, they are Iranian hands or fingerprints.

But the international investigation is necessary because this attack is not only against Saudi Arabia, not only the United States but almost the entire world because it targeted global oil supplies and threatened global economic stability. Days later, because confronting the escalation of Iranian escalation has become an international responsibility, and is no longer confined to the Kingdom, which is subjected to Iranian attacks through the Houthis, nor to the United States in response to the departure of President Donald Trump from the nuclear agreement with Iran and impose a progressive peace from sanctions Of her guardian.

Now the Europeans, especially French President Emmanuel Macron, whom Iran is trying to blackmail, must raise the level of nuclear enrichment, even though they have tried to open a niche to prevent economic suffocation through the Instex formula, which it refused to know that the Iranian bombardment was not on Aramco alone. But on the cycle of the world economy, especially the European, thus imposing a clear international condemnation of the Iranian regime, and take firm measures to prevent this systematic escalation in the threat of global oil supply, whether by targeting tankers as it happened before or by repeated attacks on Saudi Arabia as happened when targeting the station Oil and airports in the Kingdom.

Going back to Saturday's attack, it was clear that the shells also landed morally in the Oval Office in the White House. Reaching this level of recklessness and escalation is compelling evidence that US sanctions are stifling the regime, which has chosen since November. We have witnessed a series of attacks on tankers and bombardments from Yemen through the Houthi mask, and since then it has become clear that the Iranian regime is looking for a military war after it came to suffocation to raise the pace of aggression to target Aramco Lung. Gulf oil, which if sneezed hit the global economy cold.

On Sunday, Trump said after the aggression that he was ready to retaliate. Washington will defend the international system that Iran is working to undermine.

On Monday, Trump called the US National Security Council to a meeting at the White House to discuss the situation. This move is in defense of a world order based on legal assets that Iran is threatening.

Of course, the investigations and sensory evidence presented proved that the aggression was launched from the north, and that the network «CNN» said that satellite images showed that the missiles were launched from Iran, and the site «NPR» quoted the Pentagon that the satellites monitored the preparation of drones and missiles in the areas launched within Iran ahead of the attack.

But while the investigation is taking place at the international level, where the United Nations is involved, it is supposed to pave the way for a deterrent international resolution, because the attack as Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman told Minister Esber that the Iranian threats are not only directed against the Kingdom but also have an impact on the Middle East and the world. President Trump seemed to read well in the books of his predecessor Barack Obama.

How do?

In 2012, Israel was preparing to launch an attack against Iran's nuclear facilities. Barack Obama intervened with Benjamin Netanyahu, convincing him that sanctions served more than war, which in 2015 led to Iran's acceptance of the nuclear deal Trump described. He called it a "scandal of the times" and canceled it in May last year, starting a series of stifling sanctions against the Iranian regime, making 12 demands to stop it, which Iran rejected, and is engaging in the equation of fires to stop sanctions.

Sanctions on Iran and its military arms appear to have reached a critical stage. On the eve of the attack on Aramco, agencies reported that opponents in Iran, who were fed up with the collapsing economic situation, after unemployment reached 50 percent, demonstrated and burned pictures of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, the headquarters of the Revolutionary Guards and the Basij forces. In 75 cities across the country.

So when Trump took on Wednesday with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo's arrival in Riyadh a big fan of sanctions, it seemed that despite the attack on Aramco, Trump could still be a man punished and not fighting, especially after he announced last Wednesday that he was not seeking war with any party, and that Prefer not to get involved in a war!

This was evident last June after the Iranians shot down the US drone. National Security Adviser John Bolton set out the day before Trump to plan a strike on Iran but halted it 10 minutes before the implementation, against the backdrop of what is becoming clear that he is betting that Immediately, Iranian sanctions lead to a guaranteed victory, while a war, even a specific blow, could lead to chaos he does not want!

It is no exaggeration to say that Iran, through its operations against tankers, targeting the American plane and increasing the enrichment rate to blackmail the Europeans, is coordinating a war with the United States at any cost. It is not an exaggeration to say that President Trump decided not to sell a war that is a necessary outlet for him, even though the military balance here Not in the interest of the Iranian regime, how is it now exhausted?

In the American calculations, the Iranian regime is suffocating and therefore went to the blatant aggression against Aramco, betting on pushing things with Washington into a military clash or war, which would benefit it, first in re-mobilizing the Iranian public opinion with him and then holding Washington responsible for the suffocating economic crisis that suffocates the country, and second in the creation of a global oil crisis that leads to the extension of the Western blame on Trump, and thirdly open the niche to a new agreement outside the 12 points of Pompeo, which would trim the nails of the Iranian regime missile and regionally.

On the other hand, Trump does not forget that the most important decision he promised in the last elections is to turn the page of war and end the costly military intervention in the Middle East, and it is not suitable for him on the eve of his participation in the elections to renew his mandate to go to war. Biden is one of the godfathers of the nuclear deal signed by Obama.

But when Britain discusses with Germany and France a formula for an international collective response to prevent Iranian aggression, Trump will be at the forefront of an international alliance to protect oil supplies, so Riyadh is focused on an international investigation with UN involvement that puts Iran in the corner.

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